Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Rennes38%2.63
- Draw26%3.83
- Lille36%2.79
Double chance
- Rennes or draw64%1.56
- Rennes or Lille74%1.35
- Draw or Lille62%1.61
Goals
- Over 2.558%1.72
- Under 2.542%2.40
Both teams to score
- Yes61%1.65
- No39%2.54
Match in numbers
This season, Rennes at home and Lille away
| Rennes (home) | Lille (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.60 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.5 | 6.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
- Lille have scored in 9 straight league matches.
- Rennes: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 16th in the league.
- Lille: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 2nd in the league.
- Our predictions for Rennes matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Lille matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Rennes 38%, draw 26%, Lille 36%.
At home this season Rennes average 2.60 points and 2.6 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Lille take 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Rennes manage 7.5 per home game and Lille 6.0 per away game.
Form lines: Lille have scored in 9 straight league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Rennes 1.53, Lille 1.49. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 58%.
In their last 5 league meetings Rennes won 1, Lille won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-08%
- 0-17%
Rennes form
- Lat Nice2-52026-10-30
- Wvs Strasbourg3-02026-10-25
- Lat Paris FC3-42026-10-18
- Wvs Auxerre4-12026-10-11
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais0-42026-09-19
Lille form
- Wvs Lens1-02026-10-30
- Dat Monaco1-12026-10-25
- Dvs Brest1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Le Havre1-02026-10-10
- Lat Nice1-22026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-03-15Rennes 1-2 Lille
- 2026-01-03Lille 0-2 Rennes
- 2025-02-16Rennes 0-2 Lille
- 2024-11-24Lille 1-0 Rennes
- 2024-03-10Lille 2-2 Rennes
Prediction made 2026-11-08 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.