Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 07 November 2026

RB Leipzig4th · 15 pts
5 - 2Full time
Augsburg11th · 9 pts
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: RB Leipzig to win (66%)
Our predictionRB Leipzig to winStrong pick
66%Probability
1.52Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.52-1.32Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • RB Leipzig66%1.52
  • Draw17%5.75
  • Augsburg17%5.89

Double chance

  • RB Leipzig or draw83%1.20
  • RB Leipzig or Augsburg83%1.21
  • Draw or Augsburg34%2.91

Goals

  • Over 2.574%1.35
  • Under 2.526%3.82

Both teams to score

  • Yes67%1.48
  • No33%3.06

Match in numbers

This season, RB Leipzig at home and Augsburg away

RB Leipzig (home)Augsburg (away)
Matches43
Points per game3.001.00
Goals scored per game4.503.00
Goals conceded per game0.002.67
Shots on target per game8.26.3
Shots on target conceded4.59.0
Clean sheets100%0%
Over 2.5 goals100%100%
Both teams scored0%100%
  • Augsburg have gone 6 league matches without a win.
  • RB Leipzig: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Augsburg: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Our predictions for RB Leipzig matches: 3 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Augsburg matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

On the numbers this is RB Leipzig's match to lose. The model gives them 66%, with the draw at 17% and Augsburg at 17%.

At home this season RB Leipzig average 3.00 points and 4.5 goals per game, conceding 0.0. Away from home Augsburg take 1.00 points per game, scoring 3.0 and conceding 2.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 8.2 per game for RB Leipzig at home and 6.3 for Augsburg on the road.

Current runs: Augsburg have gone 6 league matches without a win.

The model expects 2.52 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.32 from Augsburg; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 67%.

In their last 5 league meetings RB Leipzig won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 3-18%
  • 1-17%
  • 2-07%
  • 2-26%

RB Leipzig form

LWLWW
  • Wat Schalke 042-02026-10-31
  • Wvs Elversberg4-02026-10-24
  • Lat Bayern Munich1-62026-10-17
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt6-02026-10-10
  • Lat Bayer Leverkusen0-22026-09-20

Augsburg form

LDLDL
  • Lvs Freiburg1-22026-10-31
  • Dvs Union Berlin1-12026-10-24
  • Lat Elversberg3-42026-10-17
  • Dvs Bayern Munich2-22026-10-10
  • Lat Werder Bremen2-32026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-03-07RB Leipzig 2-1 Augsburg
  • 2025-10-25Augsburg 0-6 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-02-14Augsburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-09-28RB Leipzig 4-0 Augsburg
  • 2024-02-10Augsburg 2-2 RB Leipzig

Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.