Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Queens Park Rangers vs Lincoln City prediction

England · Championship · 07 November 2026

Queens Park Rangers11th · 21 pts
2 - 1Full time
Lincoln City19th · 15 pts
Queens Park RangersDrawLincoln City
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Queens Park Rangers to win (52%)
Our predictionQueens Park Rangers to winLean
52%Probability
1.93Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.83-0.99Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Queens Park Rangers52%1.93
  • Draw26%3.84
  • Lincoln City22%4.53

Double chance

  • Queens Park Rangers or draw78%1.28
  • Queens Park Rangers or Lincoln City74%1.35
  • Draw or Lincoln City48%2.08

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.87
  • Under 2.546%2.15

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.90
  • No47%2.11

Match in numbers

This season, Queens Park Rangers at home and Lincoln City away

Queens Park Rangers (home)Lincoln City (away)
Matches77
Points per game1.711.43
Goals scored per game2.000.86
Goals conceded per game0.861.14
Shots on target per game-2.4
Shots on target conceded-4.7
Clean sheets29%43%
Over 2.5 goals57%43%
Both teams scored57%29%
  • Queens Park Rangers: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 16th in the league.
  • Lincoln City: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 23rd and their defence 23rd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Queens Park Rangers matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Lincoln City matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Queens Park Rangers have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Lincoln City at 22%.

At home this season Queens Park Rangers average 1.71 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 0.9. Away from home Lincoln City take 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.1.

Lincoln City are 19th in the table while the model ranks them only 24th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Queens Park Rangers 1.83, Lincoln City 0.99. The single most likely score is 1-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-011%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 0-16%

Queens Park Rangers form

WLWLD
  • Dvs Burnley1-12026-11-03
  • Lat Southampton1-42026-10-31
  • Wvs Swansea City5-02026-10-24
  • Lat Birmingham City0-32026-10-17
  • Wvs Derby County4-12026-10-14

Lincoln City form

LDWLL
  • Lat Watford0-12026-11-03
  • Lvs Birmingham City1-32026-10-31
  • Wvs Burnley4-12026-10-24
  • Dat Millwall2-22026-10-17
  • Lvs West Ham United0-62026-10-14

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.