Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- PSG88%1.13
- Draw9%11.45
- Troyes3%33.32
Double chance
- PSG or draw97%1.03
- PSG or Troyes91%1.10
- Draw or Troyes12%8.52
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.66
- Under 2.540%2.52
Both teams to score
- Yes41%2.44
- No59%1.70
Match in numbers
This season, PSG at home and Troyes away
| PSG (home) | Troyes (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per game | - | 1.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | - | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 25% |
- PSG have won their last 6 league matches.
- PSG: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 1st in the league.
- Troyes: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 5th in the league.
- Our predictions for PSG matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Troyes matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
The model makes PSG clear favourites at 88%. The draw is rated at 9% and a win for Troyes at 3%.
At home this season PSG average 2.00 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Troyes take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2.
Form lines: PSG have won their last 6 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: PSG 2.53, Troyes 0.59. The single most likely score is 2-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.
In their last 4 league meetings PSG won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-014%
- 3-012%
- 1-011%
- 2-18%
- 4-08%
PSG form
- Wat Le Havre5-12026-10-30
- Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2-02026-10-26
- Wat Strasbourg3-12026-10-17
- Wvs Le Mans3-12026-10-10
- Wat Marseille2-12026-09-20
Troyes form
- Wvs Le Mans2-02026-10-31
- Dat Toulouse0-02026-10-25
- Lvs Lens1-32026-10-17
- Lvs Marseille0-22026-10-11
- Lat Angers SCO0-22026-09-19
Head to head
- 2023-05-07Troyes 1-3 PSG
- 2022-10-29PSG 4-3 Troyes
- 2022-05-08PSG 2-2 Troyes
- 2021-08-07Troyes 1-2 PSG
Prediction made 2026-11-07 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.