PSG vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction
PSG2nd · 14 pts
Olympique Lyonnais1st · 14 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- PSG66%1.51
- Draw20%5.09
- Olympique Lyonnais14%7.05
Double chance
- PSG or draw86%1.17
- PSG or Olympique Lyonnais80%1.24
- Draw or Olympique Lyonnais34%2.96
Goals
- Over 2.561%1.65
- Under 2.539%2.54
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.82
- No45%2.22
Match preview
The model makes PSG clear favourites, with a 66% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 20% and a win for Olympique Lyonnais at 14%.
Expected goals from the model: PSG 2.16, Olympique Lyonnais 0.98. The single most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.
PSG have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWL).
Olympique Lyonnais have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDW).
In the table PSG are 2nd with 14 points and Olympique Lyonnais 1st with 14.
In their last 5 league meetings PSG won 4, Olympique Lyonnais won 1 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 1-010%
- 1-19%
- 3-07%
PSG form
- Wat Strasbourg3-12026-10-17
- Wvs Le Mans3-12026-10-10
- Wat Marseille2-12026-09-20
- Wat Brest1-02026-09-13
- Lvs Monaco1-22026-09-04
Olympique Lyonnais form
- Wvs Nice2-12026-10-18
- Lat Lens1-22026-10-09
- Wvs Rennes4-02026-09-19
- Dat Paris FC0-02026-09-12
- Wvs Auxerre3-12026-09-04
Head to head
- 2026-04-19PSG 1-2 Olympique Lyonnais
- 2025-11-09Olympique Lyonnais 2-3 PSG
- 2025-02-23Olympique Lyonnais 2-3 PSG
- 2024-12-15PSG 3-1 Olympique Lyonnais
- 2024-04-21PSG 4-1 Olympique Lyonnais
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.