Portsmouth vs Swansea City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Portsmouth38%2.61
- Draw29%3.42
- Swansea City32%3.08
Double chance
- Portsmouth or draw68%1.48
- Portsmouth or Swansea City71%1.41
- Draw or Swansea City62%1.62
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.35
- Under 2.557%1.74
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.08
- No52%1.92
Match in numbers
This season, Portsmouth at home and Swansea City away
| Portsmouth (home) | Swansea City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
- Portsmouth are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
- Portsmouth: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Swansea City: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for Portsmouth matches: 1 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Swansea City matches: 4 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 38% for Portsmouth, 29% for the draw and 32% for Swansea City.
At home this season Portsmouth average 1.67 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Swansea City take 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.6 per game for Portsmouth at home and 4.6 for Swansea City on the road.
Current runs: Portsmouth are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
Portsmouth are 11th in the table while the model ranks them only 18th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Swansea City are 3rd in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 1.26 goals from Portsmouth and 1.12 from Swansea City; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 48%.
In their last 4 league meetings Portsmouth won 1, Swansea City won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 0-111%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Portsmouth form
- Dat Burnley0-02026-10-31
- Wvs Millwall2-12026-10-24
- Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers1-12026-10-20
- Wat Norwich City1-02026-10-17
- Wvs Sheffield United3-22026-10-14
Swansea City form
- Wvs Blackburn Rovers4-02026-10-31
- Lat Queens Park Rangers0-52026-10-24
- Lvs West Ham United0-12026-10-17
- Wat Millwall1-02026-10-13
- Wvs Norwich City2-12026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-03-10Portsmouth 1-2 Swansea City
- 2025-12-09Swansea City 1-0 Portsmouth
- 2025-01-01Portsmouth 4-0 Swansea City
- 2024-11-30Swansea City 2-2 Portsmouth
Prediction made 2026-11-03 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.