Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 01 November 2026

PEC Zwolle15th · 8 pts
1 - 0Full time
ADO Den Haag17th · 6 pts
PEC ZwolleDrawADO Den Haag
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: PEC Zwolle to win (51%)
Our predictionPEC Zwolle to winLean
51%Probability
1.96Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.62-1.36Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • PEC Zwolle51%1.96
  • Draw23%4.34
  • ADO Den Haag26%3.87

Double chance

  • PEC Zwolle or draw74%1.35
  • PEC Zwolle or ADO Den Haag77%1.30
  • Draw or ADO Den Haag49%2.05

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.75
  • Under 2.543%2.34

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.68
  • No41%2.46

Match in numbers

This season, PEC Zwolle at home and ADO Den Haag away

PEC Zwolle (home)ADO Den Haag (away)
Matches55
Points per game0.600.40
Goals scored per game1.001.00
Goals conceded per game2.802.20
Shots on target per game4.42.6
Shots on target conceded6.47.4
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored40%60%
  • PEC Zwolle: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 14th in the league.
  • ADO Den Haag: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Our predictions for PEC Zwolle matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for ADO Den Haag matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

PEC Zwolle have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for ADO Den Haag at 26%.

At home this season PEC Zwolle average 0.60 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 2.8. Away from home ADO Den Haag take 0.40 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, PEC Zwolle manage 4.4 per home game and ADO Den Haag 2.6 per away game.

Expected goals from the model: PEC Zwolle 1.62, ADO Den Haag 1.36. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

In their last 2 league meetings PEC Zwolle won 1 and ADO Den Haag won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 1-28%
  • 0-17%

PEC Zwolle form

LLLWD
  • Dat Utrecht1-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Go Ahead Eagles4-12026-10-18
  • Lvs Cambuur0-12026-10-11
  • Lat Groningen0-32026-09-18
  • Lvs Feyenoord0-72026-09-13

ADO Den Haag form

LDDWL
  • Lvs Heerenveen2-32026-10-24
  • Wvs PSV2-12026-10-17
  • Dat Telstar2-22026-10-11
  • Dvs Cambuur1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Twente0-22026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2021-05-09PEC Zwolle 0-1 ADO Den Haag
  • 2020-12-23ADO Den Haag 0-2 PEC Zwolle

Prediction made 2026-11-01 10:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.