Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Parma26%3.86
- Draw30%3.35
- Bologna44%2.26
Double chance
- Parma or draw56%1.79
- Parma or Bologna70%1.43
- Draw or Bologna74%1.35
Goals
- Over 2.535%2.87
- Under 2.565%1.53
Both teams to score
- Yes41%2.45
- No59%1.69
Match in numbers
This season, Parma at home and Bologna away
| Parma (home) | Bologna (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
- Bologna have won their last 3 league matches.
- Parma: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 11th in the league.
- Bologna: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 6th in the league.
- Our predictions for Parma matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Bologna matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 26% for Parma, 30% for the draw and 44% for Bologna.
At home this season Parma average 1.00 points and 0.6 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Bologna take 1.80 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.4 per game for Parma at home and 4.0 for Bologna on the road.
Current runs: Bologna have won their last 3 league matches.
Parma are 15th in the table while the model ranks them only 20th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 0.88 goals from Parma and 1.21 from Bologna; 0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 15%, over 2.5 goals 35% and both teams to score 41%.
In their last 5 league meetings Parma won 2, Bologna won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 0-115%
- 1-113%
- 0-012%
- 1-011%
- 0-29%
Parma form
- Wat Atalanta3-02026-11-02
- Dvs Udinese0-02026-10-28
- Lat Lazio1-22026-10-24
- Lvs Torino0-32026-10-19
- Lat Inter Milan0-32026-10-10
Bologna form
- Wvs Monza2-12026-10-31
- Wat AC Milan4-22026-10-28
- Wat Cagliari2-02026-10-24
- Lvs Inter Milan1-32026-10-17
- Wat Lecce2-12026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-02-08Bologna 0-1 Parma
- 2025-11-02Parma 1-3 Bologna
- 2025-02-22Parma 2-0 Bologna
- 2024-10-06Bologna 0-0 Parma
- 2021-02-07Parma 0-3 Bologna
Prediction made 2026-11-07 16:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.