Paris FC vs Monaco prediction
Paris FC3rd · 14 pts
Monaco5th · 14 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Paris FC39%2.59
- Draw28%3.56
- Monaco33%3.00
Double chance
- Paris FC or draw67%1.50
- Paris FC or Monaco72%1.39
- Draw or Monaco61%1.63
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.06
- Under 2.551%1.94
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.89
- No47%2.12
Match in numbers
This season, Paris FC at home and Monaco away
| Paris FC (home) | Monaco (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
- Paris FC: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Monaco: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 5th in the league.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Paris FC 39%, draw 28%, Monaco 33%.
At home this season Paris FC average 2.50 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Monaco take 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Paris FC manage 6.0 per home game and Monaco 4.7 per away game.
Paris FC are 3rd in the table while the model ranks them only 8th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Paris FC 1.35, Monaco 1.26. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.
Paris FC won both of the last league meetings between the two.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-010%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
Paris FC form
- Wvs Rennes4-32026-10-18
- Lat Lorient0-12026-10-10
- Wvs Strasbourg2-12026-09-19
- Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0-02026-09-12
- Wat Marseille3-22026-09-06
Monaco form
- Lat Lorient0-12026-10-18
- Dvs Toulouse2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Lens2-12026-09-18
- Dat Strasbourg1-12026-09-12
- Wat PSG2-12026-09-04
Head to head
- 2026-04-10Paris FC 4-1 Monaco
- 2025-11-01Monaco 0-1 Paris FC
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.