Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction

Europe · Conference League · 05 November 2026

Panathinaikos
2 - 1Full time
CSKA Sofia
PanathinaikosDrawCSKA Sofia
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Panathinaikos to win (79%)
Our predictionPanathinaikos to winStrong pick
79%Probability
1.27Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.93-0.78Expected goals

European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Panathinaikos79%1.27
  • Draw13%7.75
  • CSKA Sofia8%12.32

Double chance

  • Panathinaikos or draw92%1.09
  • Panathinaikos or CSKA Sofia87%1.15
  • Draw or CSKA Sofia21%4.76

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.96
  • Under 2.549%2.04

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.17
  • No54%1.85

Match preview

Panathinaikos go in as strong favourites: 79% to win, against 13% for a draw and 8% for CSKA Sofia.

The model expects 1.93 goals from Panathinaikos and 0.78 from CSKA Sofia; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 46%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 2-012%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 3-08%

Panathinaikos form

WWWWW
  • Wvs AEK Athens2-02026-11-01
  • Wat Volos NFC1-02026-10-25
  • Wat Kairat5-12026-10-22
  • Wvs Asteras Tripolis5-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Borac Banja Luka2-12026-10-15

CSKA Sofia form

LLLLD
  • Dat Nordsjælland2-22026-10-22
  • Lvs Monaco1-22026-10-15
  • Lvs OFI0-22026-08-27
  • Lat OFI0-32026-08-20
  • Lvs Maccabi Tel Aviv1-32026-08-13

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.