Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction

Spain · La Liga · 07 November 2026

Osasuna16th · 11 pts
1 - 1Full time
Athletic Club7th · 15 pts
OsasunaDrawAthletic Club
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Athletic Club to win (36%)
Our predictionAthletic Club to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.80Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.27-1.22Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Osasuna36%2.81
  • Draw29%3.48
  • Athletic Club36%2.80

Double chance

  • Osasuna or draw64%1.56
  • Osasuna or Athletic Club71%1.40
  • Draw or Athletic Club64%1.55

Goals

  • Over 2.545%2.20
  • Under 2.555%1.83

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%1.98
  • No50%2.02

Match in numbers

This season, Osasuna at home and Athletic Club away

Osasuna (home)Athletic Club (away)
Matches54
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored per game0.800.75
Goals conceded per game0.601.25
Shots on target per game4.63.2
Shots on target conceded1.65.5
Clean sheets60%50%
Over 2.5 goals0%25%
Both teams scored20%25%
  • Osasuna: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Athletic Club: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Osasuna matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Athletic Club matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 36% for Osasuna, 29% for the draw and 36% for Athletic Club.

At home this season Osasuna average 1.60 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Athletic Club take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.6 per game for Osasuna at home and 3.2 for Athletic Club on the road.

The model expects 1.27 goals from Osasuna and 1.22 from Athletic Club; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.

In their last 5 league meetings Athletic Club won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-18%
  • 0-08%

Osasuna form

DLWLL
  • Lat Deportivo de La Coruña1-22026-11-02
  • Lat Sevilla0-22026-10-26
  • Wvs Racing de Santander2-02026-10-18
  • Lat Real Betis2-52026-10-11
  • Dvs Rayo Vallecano1-12026-09-19

Athletic Club form

DDLWW
  • Wvs Real Sociedad2-12026-11-01
  • Wvs Getafe4-02026-10-25
  • Lat Levante1-32026-10-21
  • Dat Valencia0-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Alavés0-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-04-21Athletic Club 1-0 Osasuna
  • 2026-01-03Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club
  • 2025-03-30Athletic Club 0-0 Osasuna
  • 2024-12-21Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Club
  • 2024-05-11Athletic Club 2-2 Osasuna

Prediction made 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.