Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Northampton Town
0 - 1Full time
Tranmere Rovers
Northampton TownDrawTranmere Rovers
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Northampton Town to win (42%)
Our predictionNorthampton Town to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.41Fair odds
0-0Likely score
0.96-0.64Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Northampton Town42%2.41
  • Draw34%2.93
  • Tranmere Rovers24%4.12

Double chance

  • Northampton Town or draw76%1.32
  • Northampton Town or Tranmere Rovers66%1.52
  • Draw or Tranmere Rovers58%1.71

Goals

  • Over 2.522%4.60
  • Under 2.578%1.28

Both teams to score

  • Yes29%3.46
  • No71%1.41

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Northampton Town 42%, draw 34%, Tranmere Rovers 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Northampton Town 0.96, Tranmere Rovers 0.64. The single most likely score is 0-0 (20%), and the chance of three or more goals is 22%.

Northampton Town have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDLLW).

Tranmere Rovers have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDLDD).

In their last 4 league meetings Northampton Town won 3, Tranmere Rovers won 0 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-020%
  • 1-020%
  • 0-113%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-09%

Northampton Town form

WLLDW
  • Wat Grimsby Town2-02026-10-17
  • Dat York City1-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Rotherham United0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Shrewsbury Town0-22026-09-12
  • Wvs Newport County1-02026-09-05

Tranmere Rovers form

DDLDL
  • Lvs Barnet1-22026-10-17
  • Dvs Rochdale1-12026-10-10
  • Lat Chesterfield2-42026-10-03
  • Dvs Walsall1-12026-09-26
  • Dat Exeter City0-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2023-05-08Tranmere Rovers 0-1 Northampton Town
  • 2022-12-03Northampton Town 0-0 Tranmere Rovers
  • 2022-03-05Northampton Town 3-2 Tranmere Rovers
  • 2021-10-23Tranmere Rovers 0-2 Northampton Town

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Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.