Nice vs Rennes prediction
Nice8th · 11 pts
Rennes6th · 13 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Nice33%3.00
- Draw25%4.04
- Rennes42%2.38
Double chance
- Nice or draw58%1.72
- Nice or Rennes75%1.33
- Draw or Rennes67%1.50
Goals
- Over 2.563%1.58
- Under 2.537%2.71
Both teams to score
- Yes64%1.56
- No36%2.80
Match in numbers
This season, Nice at home and Rennes away
| Nice (home) | Rennes (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.75 | 3.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.2 | 5.3 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 7.0 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 67% |
- Nice: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Rennes: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 13th in the league.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Nice 33%, draw 25%, Rennes 42%.
At home this season Nice average 2.00 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Rennes take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 3.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Nice manage 3.2 per home game and Rennes 5.3 per away game.
Nice are 8th in the table while the model ranks them only 13th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Nice 1.56, Rennes 1.69. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.
In their last 5 league meetings Nice won 2 and Rennes won 3.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-17%
Nice form
- Wat Brest2-12026-10-23
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais1-22026-10-18
- Wvs Strasbourg2-12026-10-11
- Wvs Lille2-12026-09-20
- Lat Auxerre0-12026-09-12
Rennes form
- Lat Paris FC3-42026-10-18
- Wvs Auxerre4-12026-10-11
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais0-42026-09-19
- Wvs Marseille1-02026-09-11
- Wat Angers SCO2-12026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-03-08Nice 0-4 Rennes
- 2025-10-26Rennes 1-2 Nice
- 2025-05-10Rennes 2-0 Nice
- 2025-01-03Nice 3-2 Rennes
- 2024-01-13Rennes 2-0 Nice
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.