Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Nice vs Rennes prediction

France · Ligue 1 · 31 October 2026

Nice8th · 11 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Rennes6th · 13 pts
NiceDrawRennes
Our predictionRennes to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.38Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.56-1.69Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Nice33%3.00
  • Draw25%4.04
  • Rennes42%2.38

Double chance

  • Nice or draw58%1.72
  • Nice or Rennes75%1.33
  • Draw or Rennes67%1.50

Goals

  • Over 2.563%1.58
  • Under 2.537%2.71

Both teams to score

  • Yes64%1.56
  • No36%2.80

Match in numbers

This season, Nice at home and Rennes away

Nice (home)Rennes (away)
Matches43
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored per game1.251.67
Goals conceded per game0.753.00
Shots on target per game3.25.3
Shots on target conceded4.07.0
Clean sheets25%0%
Over 2.5 goals50%100%
Both teams scored75%67%
  • Nice: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Rennes: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 13th in the league.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Nice 33%, draw 25%, Rennes 42%.

At home this season Nice average 2.00 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Rennes take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 3.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Nice manage 3.2 per home game and Rennes 5.3 per away game.

Nice are 8th in the table while the model ranks them only 13th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Nice 1.56, Rennes 1.69. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.

In their last 5 league meetings Nice won 2 and Rennes won 3.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%
  • 2-27%
  • 0-17%

Nice form

LWWLW
  • Wat Brest2-12026-10-23
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais1-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Strasbourg2-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Lille2-12026-09-20
  • Lat Auxerre0-12026-09-12

Rennes form

WWLWL
  • Lat Paris FC3-42026-10-18
  • Wvs Auxerre4-12026-10-11
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais0-42026-09-19
  • Wvs Marseille1-02026-09-11
  • Wat Angers SCO2-12026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-03-08Nice 0-4 Rennes
  • 2025-10-26Rennes 1-2 Nice
  • 2025-05-10Rennes 2-0 Nice
  • 2025-01-03Nice 3-2 Rennes
  • 2024-01-13Rennes 2-0 Nice

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.