Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction
Newport County12th · 15 pts
Chesterfield9th · 16 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Newport County28%3.58
- Draw28%3.63
- Chesterfield44%2.25
Double chance
- Newport County or draw56%1.80
- Newport County or Chesterfield72%1.38
- Draw or Chesterfield72%1.39
Goals
- Over 2.548%2.07
- Under 2.552%1.94
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.92
- No48%2.08
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Newport County 28%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 44%.
Expected goals from the model: Newport County 1.13, Chesterfield 1.48. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.
Newport County have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DDWDW).
Chesterfield have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLDWL).
In the table Newport County are 12th with 15 points and Chesterfield 9th with 16.
In their last 4 league meetings Newport County won 1, Chesterfield won 3 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-29%
- 1-09%
- 0-28%
Newport County form
- Dat Rotherham United2-22026-10-20
- Dvs York City1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Colchester United1-02026-10-10
- Dat Gillingham0-02026-10-03
- Wvs Grimsby Town2-12026-09-26
Chesterfield form
- Dvs Colchester United1-12026-10-20
- Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-17
- Dat Crawley Town2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Tranmere Rovers4-22026-10-03
- Lat Cheltenham Town1-22026-09-26
Head to head
- 2026-01-24Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield
- 2025-09-27Chesterfield 4-1 Newport County
- 2025-03-08Chesterfield 2-1 Newport County
- 2024-10-18Newport County 0-3 Chesterfield
More League Two predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.