Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction

England · League Two · 30 October 2026

Newport County12th · 15 pts
Fri 30 Oct
Chesterfield9th · 16 pts
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
Our predictionChesterfield to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.25Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.13-1.48Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Newport County28%3.58
  • Draw28%3.63
  • Chesterfield44%2.25

Double chance

  • Newport County or draw56%1.80
  • Newport County or Chesterfield72%1.38
  • Draw or Chesterfield72%1.39

Goals

  • Over 2.548%2.07
  • Under 2.552%1.94

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.92
  • No48%2.08

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Newport County 28%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 44%.

Expected goals from the model: Newport County 1.13, Chesterfield 1.48. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.

Newport County have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DDWDW).

Chesterfield have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLDWL).

In the table Newport County are 12th with 15 points and Chesterfield 9th with 16.

In their last 4 league meetings Newport County won 1, Chesterfield won 3 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 1-09%
  • 0-28%

Newport County form

WDWDD
  • Dat Rotherham United2-22026-10-20
  • Dvs York City1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Colchester United1-02026-10-10
  • Dat Gillingham0-02026-10-03
  • Wvs Grimsby Town2-12026-09-26

Chesterfield form

LWDLD
  • Dvs Colchester United1-12026-10-20
  • Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-17
  • Dat Crawley Town2-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Tranmere Rovers4-22026-10-03
  • Lat Cheltenham Town1-22026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-01-24Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield
  • 2025-09-27Chesterfield 4-1 Newport County
  • 2025-03-08Chesterfield 2-1 Newport County
  • 2024-10-18Newport County 0-3 Chesterfield

More League Two predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.