Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

NEC vs Omonia Nicosia prediction

Europe · Europa League · 05 November 2026

3 - 1Full time
Omonia Nicosia
NECDrawOmonia Nicosia
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: NEC to win (56%)
Our predictionNEC to winLean
56%Probability
1.79Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.37-1.18Expected goals

European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • NEC56%1.79
  • Draw23%4.37
  • Omonia Nicosia21%4.73

Double chance

  • NEC or draw79%1.27
  • NEC or Omonia Nicosia77%1.30
  • Draw or Omonia Nicosia44%2.27

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.13
  • Under 2.553%1.88

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.94
  • No49%2.06

Match preview

NEC have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Omonia Nicosia at 21%.

Form lines: NEC have gone 8 league matches without a win.

Expected goals from the model: NEC 1.37, Omonia Nicosia 1.18. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-08%

NEC form

DDWDL
  • Lat Heerenveen0-12026-10-31
  • Dvs Groningen2-22026-10-25
  • Wat Dinamo Zagreb4-22026-10-22
  • Dvs Fortuna Sittard2-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Levski Sofia1-12026-10-15

Omonia Nicosia form

LWWWL
  • Lvs Benfica1-42026-10-22
  • Wat Celje3-02026-10-15
  • Wvs Celta Vigo1-02026-09-16
  • Wvs Sint-Truiden4-22026-08-27
  • Lat Sint-Truiden0-12026-08-20

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-05 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.