NordsjællandPrediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Monaco to win (64%)
Our predictionMonaco to winStrong pick
64%Probability
1.57Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.22-1.04Expected goals
European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Monaco64%1.57
- Draw20%4.99
- Nordsjælland16%6.11
Double chance
- Monaco or draw84%1.20
- Monaco or Nordsjælland80%1.25
- Draw or Nordsjælland36%2.74
Goals
- Over 2.563%1.58
- Under 2.537%2.72
Both teams to score
- Yes57%1.74
- No43%2.34
Match preview
On the numbers this is Monaco's match to lose. The model gives them 64%, with the draw at 20% and Nordsjælland at 16%.
Expected goals from the model: Monaco 2.22, Nordsjælland 1.04. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.
Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 2-010%
- 1-09%
- 1-19%
- 3-17%
Monaco form
WLWDL
- Lat Paris FC1-32026-11-01
- Dvs Lille1-12026-10-25
- Wvs Freiburg3-02026-10-22
- Lat Lorient0-12026-10-18
- Wat CSKA Sofia2-12026-10-15
Nordsjælland form
DDDDL
- Lvs Midtjylland2-32026-11-01
- Dat Silkeborg1-12026-10-25
- Dvs CSKA Sofia2-22026-10-22
- Dat Lyngby3-32026-10-18
- Dat Hearts1-12026-10-15
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.