Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Marítimo vs Santa Clara prediction

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 01 November 2026

Marítimo14th · 8 pts
0 - 2Full time
Santa Clara4th · 18 pts
MarítimoDrawSanta Clara
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Santa Clara to win (50%)
Our predictionSanta Clara to winLean
50%Probability
1.99Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.90-1.40Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Marítimo22%4.51
  • Draw27%3.64
  • Santa Clara50%1.99

Double chance

  • Marítimo or draw50%2.02
  • Marítimo or Santa Clara73%1.38
  • Draw or Santa Clara78%1.28

Goals

  • Over 2.540%2.48
  • Under 2.560%1.68

Both teams to score

  • Yes44%2.25
  • No56%1.80

Match in numbers

This season, Marítimo at home and Santa Clara away

Marítimo (home)Santa Clara (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.002.50
Goals scored per game1.001.25
Goals conceded per game1.750.50
Shots on target per game3.23.0
Shots on target conceded6.22.0
Clean sheets25%50%
Over 2.5 goals75%25%
Both teams scored50%50%
  • Marítimo have gone 7 league matches without a win.
  • Marítimo: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 18th in the league.
  • Santa Clara: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Santa Clara matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Santa Clara (50%), though Marítimo win 22% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.

At home this season Marítimo average 1.00 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Santa Clara take 2.50 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.2 per game for Marítimo at home and 3.0 for Santa Clara on the road.

Current runs: Marítimo have gone 7 league matches without a win.

The model expects 0.90 goals from Marítimo and 1.40 from Santa Clara; 0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 44%.

In their last 5 league meetings Marítimo won 2, Santa Clara won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-114%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-010%
  • 0-210%
  • 1-09%

Marítimo form

LLDLL
  • Lat Vitória Guimarães0-52026-10-23
  • Lvs Porto1-22026-10-10
  • Dat Gil Vicente1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Moreirense1-32026-09-14
  • Lvs Benfica0-32026-09-05

Santa Clara form

WWDWL
  • Lvs Benfica1-22026-10-26
  • Wat Casa Pia1-02026-10-10
  • Dvs Sporting Braga0-02026-09-20
  • Wat Arouca2-12026-09-13
  • Wvs Rio Ave4-02026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2023-02-25Marítimo 3-1 Santa Clara
  • 2022-09-04Santa Clara 2-1 Marítimo
  • 2022-04-23Santa Clara 2-2 Marítimo
  • 2021-12-11Marítimo 4-1 Santa Clara
  • 2021-02-08Marítimo 1-2 Santa Clara

Prediction made 2026-11-01 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.