Málaga vs Racing de Santander prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Málaga42%2.41
- Draw25%4.00
- Racing de Santander33%2.99
Double chance
- Málaga or draw67%1.50
- Málaga or Racing de Santander75%1.33
- Draw or Racing de Santander58%1.71
Goals
- Over 2.563%1.59
- Under 2.537%2.68
Both teams to score
- Yes64%1.56
- No36%2.77
Match in numbers
This season, Málaga at home and Racing de Santander away
| Málaga (home) | Racing de Santander (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.4 | 7.2 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
- Málaga have gone 11 league matches without a win.
- Málaga: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 19th in the league.
- Racing de Santander: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 20th in the league.
- Our predictions for Málaga matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Racing de Santander matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Málaga 42%, draw 25%, Racing de Santander 33%.
At home this season Málaga average 0.60 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Racing de Santander take 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 3.6. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Málaga manage 3.8 per home game and Racing de Santander 3.2 per away game.
Form lines: Málaga have gone 11 league matches without a win.
Expected goals from the model: Málaga 1.70, Racing de Santander 1.54. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 2-27%
Málaga form
- Lat Real Betis1-22026-10-31
- Dat Alavés1-12026-10-23
- Lvs Real Sociedad2-52026-10-18
- Dvs Espanyol1-12026-10-09
- Lat Getafe0-12026-09-20
Racing de Santander form
- Lvs Real Madrid0-32026-11-01
- Wvs Espanyol2-12026-10-24
- Lat Osasuna0-22026-10-18
- Dvs Valencia2-22026-10-11
- Lat Celta Vigo0-52026-09-19
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-07 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.