Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction
Lugano3 - 0Full time
Kauno ŽalgirisLuganoDrawKauno Žalgiris
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Lugano to win (82%)
Our predictionLugano to winStrong pick
82%Probability
1.22Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.52-0.65Expected goals
European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record. One of these teams has fewer than 30 matches in our data, so treat this rating with extra care.
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Lugano82%1.22
- Draw11%8.92
- Kauno Žalgiris7%15.14
Double chance
- Lugano or draw93%1.07
- Lugano or Kauno Žalgiris89%1.13
- Draw or Kauno Žalgiris18%5.61
Goals
- Over 2.561%1.63
- Under 2.539%2.59
Both teams to score
- Yes44%2.29
- No56%1.78
Match preview
The model makes Lugano clear favourites at 82%. The draw is rated at 11% and a win for Kauno Žalgiris at 7%.
Expected goals from the model: Lugano 2.52, Kauno Žalgiris 0.65. The single most likely score is 2-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.
Most likely scores
- 2-013%
- 3-011%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 3-17%
Lugano form
WWWWW
- Wvs Basel2-12026-11-01
- Wat FC Thun3-22026-10-25
- Wat Getafe5-22026-10-22
- Wvs Red Star Belgrade3-22026-10-15
- Wvs Luzern4-02026-10-10
Kauno Žalgiris form
LLWLL
- Lvs Brann1-42026-10-22
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-42026-10-15
- Wvs Beşiktaş1-02026-08-27
- Lat Beşiktaş0-32026-08-20
- Lvs Dinamo Zagreb1-22026-08-11
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.