Lorient vs Brest prediction
Lorient7th · 11 pts
Brest11th · 9 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Lorient49%2.02
- Draw27%3.73
- Brest24%4.21
Double chance
- Lorient or draw76%1.31
- Lorient or Brest73%1.37
- Draw or Brest51%1.98
Goals
- Over 2.544%2.27
- Under 2.556%1.79
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.08
- No52%1.93
Match in numbers
This season, Lorient at home and Brest away
| Lorient (home) | Brest (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
- Lorient have scored in 6 straight league matches.
- Lorient: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Brest: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 11th in the league.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Lorient (49%), though Brest win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.
At home this season Lorient average 1.75 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Brest take 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.2 per game for Lorient at home and 5.0 for Brest on the road.
Current runs: Lorient have scored in 6 straight league matches.
The model expects 1.43 goals from Lorient and 1.01 from Brest; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 48%.
In their last 5 league meetings Lorient won 1, Brest won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 0-19%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
Lorient form
- Wvs Monaco1-02026-10-18
- Wvs Paris FC1-02026-10-10
- Lat Le Mans1-22026-09-19
- Dvs Toulouse2-22026-09-12
- Wat Lens1-02026-09-05
Brest form
- Lvs Nice1-22026-10-23
- Dat Lille1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Angers SCO5-12026-10-10
- Lat Auxerre1-22026-09-20
- Lvs PSG0-12026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-02-07Brest 2-0 Lorient
- 2025-10-19Lorient 3-3 Brest
- 2024-03-31Lorient 0-1 Brest
- 2023-12-20Brest 4-0 Lorient
- 2023-05-07Lorient 2-1 Brest
More Ligue 1 predictions
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Lens
Paris FC
Monaco
Lille
Toulouse
Troyes
Angers SCO
Lorient
Auxerre
Le Mans
Marseille
Le HavrePrediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.