Lille vs Lens prediction
Lille4th · 14 ptsFri 30 Oct
Lens8th · 10 ptsLilleDrawLens
Our predictionLille to winLean
46%Probability
2.20Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.49-1.18Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Lille46%2.20
- Draw27%3.73
- Lens28%3.61
Double chance
- Lille or draw72%1.38
- Lille or Lens73%1.37
- Draw or Lens54%1.84
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.00
- Under 2.550%2.00
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.87
- No47%2.15
Match preview
Lille have the edge at 46%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Lens at 28%.
Expected goals from the model: Lille 1.49, Lens 1.18. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Lille have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWLWW).
Lens have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLDL).
In the table Lille are 4th with 14 points and Lens 8th with 10.
In their last 5 league meetings Lille won 4, Lens won 1 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 2-08%
Lille form
WWLWD
- Dvs Brest1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Le Havre1-02026-10-10
- Lat Nice1-22026-09-20
- Wvs Troyes2-02026-09-13
- Wat Toulouse1-02026-09-03
Lens form
LDLWW
- Wat Troyes3-12026-10-17
- Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2-12026-10-09
- Lat Monaco1-22026-09-18
- Dat Le Mans2-22026-09-13
- Lvs Lorient0-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-04-04Lille 3-0 Lens
- 2025-09-20Lens 3-0 Lille
- 2025-03-30Lille 1-0 Lens
- 2024-10-26Lens 0-2 Lille
- 2024-03-29Lille 2-1 Lens
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›BrestMatch result
48%
2.06Fair odds
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LensMatch result
51%
1.97Fair odds
Analysis
MonacoMatch result
43%
2.35Fair odds
Analysis
ToulouseMatch result
71%
1.40Fair odds
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LorientMatch result
47%
2.11Fair odds
Analysis
AuxerreMatch result
47%
2.12Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.