Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok prediction

Europe · Europa League · 05 November 2026

Levski Sofia
1 - 0Full time
Jagiellonia Białystok
Levski SofiaDrawJagiellonia Białystok
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Levski Sofia to win (46%)
Our predictionLevski Sofia to winLean
46%Probability
2.19Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.28-0.78Expected goals

European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record. One of these teams has fewer than 30 matches in our data, so treat this rating with extra care.

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Levski Sofia46%2.19
  • Draw26%3.82
  • Jagiellonia Białystok28%3.56

Double chance

  • Levski Sofia or draw72%1.39
  • Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia Białystok74%1.36
  • Draw or Jagiellonia Białystok54%1.84

Goals

  • Over 2.534%2.94
  • Under 2.566%1.52

Both teams to score

  • Yes39%2.57
  • No61%1.64

Match preview

A slight lean towards Levski Sofia (46%), though Jagiellonia Białystok win 28% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.

The model expects 1.28 goals from Levski Sofia and 0.78 from Jagiellonia Białystok; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17%, over 2.5 goals 34% and both teams to score 39%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-017%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-012%
  • 2-010%
  • 0-110%

Levski Sofia form

DLLDW
  • Wat Viktoria Plzeň2-12026-10-22
  • Dat NEC1-12026-10-15
  • Lvs Red Bull Salzburg0-12026-09-17
  • Lat AEK Athens0-42026-08-26
  • Dvs AEK Athens0-02026-08-18

Jagiellonia Białystok form

WLLWW
  • Wat Wieczysta Kraków3-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Wisła Płock1-02026-10-25
  • Lvs Anderlecht0-32026-10-22
  • Lat Zagłębie Lubin0-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Ararat-Armenia3-12026-10-15

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-05 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.