Levante vs Athletic Club prediction

Spain · La Liga · 21 October 2026

Levante
3 - 1Full time
Athletic Club
LevanteDrawAthletic Club
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Levante to win (41%)
Our predictionLevante to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.43Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.39-1.18Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Levante41%2.43
  • Draw26%3.78
  • Athletic Club32%3.10

Double chance

  • Levante or draw68%1.48
  • Levante or Athletic Club74%1.36
  • Draw or Athletic Club59%1.70

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.11
  • Under 2.553%1.90

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.93
  • No48%2.07

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Levante 41%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 32%.

Expected goals from the model: Levante 1.39, Athletic Club 1.18. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Levante have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DDLLD).

Athletic Club have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DDDWW).

In their last 5 league meetings Levante won 0, Athletic Club won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-27%

Levante form

DLLDD
  • Dat Deportivo de La Coruña1-12026-10-16
  • Dvs Sevilla3-32026-10-12
  • Lat Villarreal1-32026-09-20
  • Lvs Barcelona2-42026-09-13
  • Dat Málaga0-02026-09-06

Athletic Club form

WWDDD
  • Dat Valencia0-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Alavés0-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Elche1-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Atletico Madrid3-02026-09-05
  • Wat Celta Vigo2-02026-08-30

Head to head

  • 2026-02-08Athletic Club 4-2 Levante
  • 2025-11-29Levante 0-2 Athletic Club
  • 2022-03-07Athletic Club 3-1 Levante
  • 2021-11-19Levante 0-0 Athletic Club
  • 2021-02-26Levante 1-1 Athletic Club

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This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.