Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Leeds United47%2.12
- Draw27%3.77
- Tottenham Hotspur26%3.80
Double chance
- Leeds United or draw74%1.36
- Leeds United or Tottenham Hotspur73%1.36
- Draw or Tottenham Hotspur53%1.89
Goals
- Over 2.545%2.23
- Under 2.555%1.82
Both teams to score
- Yes50%2.01
- No50%1.99
Match in numbers
This season, Leeds United at home and Tottenham Hotspur away
| Leeds United (home) | Tottenham Hotspur (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 25% |
- Leeds United have gone 5 league matches without a win.
- Tottenham Hotspur have won their last 3 league matches.
- Leeds United: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 9th in the league.
- Tottenham Hotspur: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 11th in the league.
- Our predictions for Leeds United matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Tottenham Hotspur matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Leeds United (47%), though Tottenham Hotspur win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.
At home this season Leeds United average 1.50 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Tottenham Hotspur take 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.8 per game for Leeds United at home and 2.8 for Tottenham Hotspur on the road.
Current runs: Leeds United have gone 5 league matches without a win; Tottenham Hotspur have won their last 3 league matches.
The model expects 1.35 goals from Leeds United and 1.12 from Tottenham Hotspur; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.
In their last 5 league meetings Tottenham Hotspur won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 0-110%
- 2-19%
- 0-08%
Leeds United form
- Lat AFC Bournemouth0-22026-10-31
- Dat Sunderland0-02026-10-25
- Dvs Manchester United1-12026-10-18
- Lat Arsenal1-22026-10-10
- Dvs Crystal Palace0-02026-09-20
Tottenham Hotspur form
- Wvs Crystal Palace2-02026-10-31
- Wat Chelsea2-02026-10-24
- Wvs Coventry City3-12026-10-19
- Dat Manchester United1-12026-10-10
- Lvs Aston Villa2-32026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-05-11Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Leeds United
- 2025-10-04Leeds United 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
- 2023-05-28Leeds United 1-4 Tottenham Hotspur
- 2022-11-12Tottenham Hotspur 4-3 Leeds United
- 2022-02-26Leeds United 0-4 Tottenham Hotspur
Prediction made 2026-11-07 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.