Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Le Mans24%4.23
- Draw24%4.12
- Monaco52%1.92
Double chance
- Le Mans or draw48%2.09
- Le Mans or Monaco76%1.32
- Draw or Monaco76%1.31
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.74
- Under 2.543%2.35
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.72
- No42%2.38
Match in numbers
This season, Le Mans at home and Monaco away
| Le Mans (home) | Monaco (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 60% |
- Le Mans: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Monaco: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 6th in the league.
- Our predictions for Le Mans matches: 0 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Monaco matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Monaco (52%), though Le Mans win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.
At home this season Le Mans average 1.25 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Monaco take 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.5 per game for Le Mans at home and 4.0 for Monaco on the road.
The model expects 1.20 goals from Le Mans and 1.79 from Monaco; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 58%.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-210%
- 0-19%
- 0-28%
- 2-16%
Le Mans form
- Lat Troyes0-22026-10-31
- Dat Auxerre1-12026-10-25
- Lvs Toulouse0-32026-10-16
- Lat PSG1-32026-10-10
- Wvs Lorient2-12026-09-19
Monaco form
- Lat Paris FC1-32026-11-01
- Dvs Lille1-12026-10-25
- Lat Lorient0-12026-10-18
- Dvs Toulouse2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Lens2-12026-09-18
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-08 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.