Le Havre vs PSG prediction
Le Havre18th · 2 pts
PSG2nd · 14 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Le Havre12%8.39
- Draw18%5.51
- PSG70%1.43
Double chance
- Le Havre or draw30%3.33
- Le Havre or PSG82%1.22
- Draw or PSG88%1.14
Goals
- Over 2.553%1.88
- Under 2.547%2.14
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.02
- No51%1.98
Match preview
The model makes PSG clear favourites, with a 70% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 18% and a win for Le Havre at 12%.
Expected goals from the model: Le Havre 0.87, PSG 1.94. The single most likely score is 0-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.
Le Havre have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDL).
PSG have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWL).
In the table Le Havre are 18th with 2 points and PSG 2nd with 14.
In their last 5 league meetings Le Havre won 0, PSG won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 0-112%
- 0-211%
- 1-110%
- 1-210%
- 0-37%
Le Havre form
- Lvs Auxerre1-32026-10-18
- Lat Lille0-12026-10-10
- Lat Toulouse2-32026-09-19
- Dvs Angers SCO0-02026-09-12
- Lvs Brest1-22026-09-05
PSG form
- Wat Strasbourg3-12026-10-17
- Wvs Le Mans3-12026-10-10
- Wat Marseille2-12026-09-20
- Wat Brest1-02026-09-13
- Lvs Monaco1-22026-09-04
Head to head
- 2026-02-28Le Havre 0-1 PSG
- 2025-11-22PSG 3-0 Le Havre
- 2025-04-19PSG 2-1 Le Havre
- 2024-08-16Le Havre 1-4 PSG
- 2024-04-27PSG 3-3 Le Havre
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.