Le Havre vs PSG prediction

France · Ligue 1 · 30 October 2026

Le Havre18th · 2 pts
Fri 30 Oct
PSG2nd · 14 pts
Le HavreDrawPSG
Our predictionPSG to winStrong pick
70%Probability
1.43Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.87-1.94Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Le Havre12%8.39
  • Draw18%5.51
  • PSG70%1.43

Double chance

  • Le Havre or draw30%3.33
  • Le Havre or PSG82%1.22
  • Draw or PSG88%1.14

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.88
  • Under 2.547%2.14

Both teams to score

  • Yes49%2.02
  • No51%1.98

Match preview

The model makes PSG clear favourites, with a 70% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 18% and a win for Le Havre at 12%.

Expected goals from the model: Le Havre 0.87, PSG 1.94. The single most likely score is 0-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

Le Havre have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDL).

PSG have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWWWL).

In the table Le Havre are 18th with 2 points and PSG 2nd with 14.

In their last 5 league meetings Le Havre won 0, PSG won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-112%
  • 0-211%
  • 1-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-37%

Le Havre form

LDLLL
  • Lvs Auxerre1-32026-10-18
  • Lat Lille0-12026-10-10
  • Lat Toulouse2-32026-09-19
  • Dvs Angers SCO0-02026-09-12
  • Lvs Brest1-22026-09-05

PSG form

LWWWW
  • Wat Strasbourg3-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Le Mans3-12026-10-10
  • Wat Marseille2-12026-09-20
  • Wat Brest1-02026-09-13
  • Lvs Monaco1-22026-09-04

Head to head

  • 2026-02-28Le Havre 0-1 PSG
  • 2025-11-22PSG 3-0 Le Havre
  • 2025-04-19PSG 2-1 Le Havre
  • 2024-08-16Le Havre 1-4 PSG
  • 2024-04-27PSG 3-3 Le Havre

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.