Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Le Havre35%2.86
- Draw29%3.40
- Lorient36%2.81
Double chance
- Le Havre or draw64%1.55
- Le Havre or Lorient71%1.42
- Draw or Lorient65%1.54
Goals
- Over 2.541%2.43
- Under 2.559%1.70
Both teams to score
- Yes47%2.13
- No53%1.89
Match in numbers
This season, Le Havre at home and Lorient away
| Le Havre (home) | Lorient (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.20 | 0.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 2.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 25% |
- Le Havre have lost their last 5 league matches.
- Le Havre: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 14th in the league.
- Lorient: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Our predictions for Le Havre matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Lorient matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Le Havre 35%, draw 29%, Lorient 36%.
At home this season Le Havre average 0.20 points and 0.6 goals per game, conceding 2.2. Away from home Lorient take 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Le Havre manage 5.0 per home game and Lorient 2.0 per away game.
Form lines: Le Havre have lost their last 5 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Le Havre 1.20, Lorient 1.13. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 41%.
In their last 4 league meetings Le Havre won 2 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 0-111%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
Le Havre form
- Lvs PSG1-52026-10-30
- Lat Marseille3-42026-10-25
- Lvs Auxerre1-32026-10-18
- Lat Lille0-12026-10-10
- Lat Toulouse2-32026-09-19
Lorient form
- Lvs Brest0-22026-11-02
- Dat Angers SCO0-02026-10-25
- Wvs Monaco1-02026-10-18
- Wvs Paris FC1-02026-10-10
- Lat Le Mans1-22026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-05-17Lorient 0-2 Le Havre
- 2025-09-21Le Havre 1-1 Lorient
- 2024-01-28Lorient 3-3 Le Havre
- 2023-09-03Le Havre 3-0 Lorient
Prediction made 2026-11-08 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.