Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Köln31%3.21
- Draw23%4.30
- Bayer Leverkusen46%2.19
Double chance
- Köln or draw54%1.84
- Köln or Bayer Leverkusen77%1.30
- Draw or Bayer Leverkusen69%1.45
Goals
- Over 2.563%1.58
- Under 2.537%2.72
Both teams to score
- Yes64%1.55
- No36%2.81
Match in numbers
This season, Köln at home and Bayer Leverkusen away
| Köln (home) | Bayer Leverkusen (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 2.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
- Köln: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Bayer Leverkusen: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Our predictions for Köln matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Bayer Leverkusen matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Bayer Leverkusen (46%), though Köln win 31% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 23%.
At home this season Köln average 2.00 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Bayer Leverkusen take 1.00 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.0 per game for Köln at home and 4.2 for Bayer Leverkusen on the road.
The model expects 1.61 goals from Köln and 1.65 from Bayer Leverkusen; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 64%.
In their last 5 league meetings Köln won 1 and Bayer Leverkusen won 4.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-17%
Köln form
- Dat Union Berlin1-12026-11-01
- Dvs Schalke 040-02026-10-24
- Lat Eintracht Frankfurt0-12026-10-16
- Wvs Borussia M'gladbach2-12026-10-11
- Lat Hamburger SV1-22026-09-19
Bayer Leverkusen form
- Lvs Stuttgart2-42026-10-31
- Lat Hoffenheim0-32026-10-25
- Wvs Freiburg2-12026-10-18
- Wat Mainz 054-32026-10-10
- Wvs RB Leipzig2-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- 2025-12-13Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Köln
- 2024-03-03Köln 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- 2023-10-08Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Köln
- 2023-05-05Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Köln
Prediction made 2026-11-08 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.