Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Kocaelispor vs Rizespor prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig · 31 October 2026

Kocaelispor7th · 15 pts
0 - 0Full time
Rizespor13th · 10 pts
KocaelisporDrawRizespor
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Kocaelispor to win (46%)
Our predictionKocaelispor to winLean
46%Probability
2.18Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.30-0.94Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Kocaelispor46%2.18
  • Draw29%3.47
  • Rizespor25%3.95

Double chance

  • Kocaelispor or draw75%1.34
  • Kocaelispor or Rizespor71%1.41
  • Draw or Rizespor54%1.85

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.59
  • Under 2.561%1.63

Both teams to score

  • Yes44%2.27
  • No56%1.78

Match in numbers

This season, Kocaelispor at home and Rizespor away

Kocaelispor (home)Rizespor (away)
Matches45
Points per game2.252.00
Goals scored per game1.501.60
Goals conceded per game0.501.00
Shots on target per game4.04.2
Shots on target conceded2.85.2
Clean sheets75%40%
Over 2.5 goals25%60%
Both teams scored25%60%
  • Rizespor have lost their last 3 league matches.
  • Kocaelispor: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 1st in the league.
  • Rizespor: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Kocaelispor matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Rizespor matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Kocaelispor have the edge at 46%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 29% and a win for Rizespor at 25%.

At home this season Kocaelispor average 2.25 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Rizespor take 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Kocaelispor manage 4.0 per home game and Rizespor 4.2 per away game.

Form lines: Rizespor have lost their last 3 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Kocaelispor 1.30, Rizespor 0.94. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 39%.

In their last 2 league meetings Rizespor won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-010%
  • 0-110%
  • 2-09%

Kocaelispor form

LWLLW
  • Wat Alanyaspor2-12026-10-23
  • Lvs Göztepe1-22026-10-18
  • Lat Beşiktaş1-22026-10-11
  • Wvs Gaziantep FK2-02026-09-19
  • Lat Galatasaray0-12026-09-13

Rizespor form

WDLLL
  • Lvs Trabzonspor3-42026-10-26
  • Lat Çorum1-22026-10-16
  • Lvs Fenerbahçe0-32026-10-10
  • Dat Göztepe2-22026-09-20
  • Wat Eyüpspor2-02026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-02-20Rizespor 2-0 Kocaelispor
  • 2025-09-21Kocaelispor 1-1 Rizespor

Prediction made 2026-10-31 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.