Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Kasımpaşa28%3.56
- Draw27%3.65
- Beşiktaş45%2.25
Double chance
- Kasımpaşa or draw55%1.80
- Kasımpaşa or Beşiktaş73%1.38
- Draw or Beşiktaş72%1.39
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.02
- Under 2.551%1.98
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.89
- No47%2.12
Match in numbers
This season, Kasımpaşa at home and Beşiktaş away
| Kasımpaşa (home) | Beşiktaş (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.5 | 6.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
- Kasımpaşa: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 8th in the league.
- Beşiktaş: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Our predictions for Kasımpaşa matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Beşiktaş matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 28% for Kasımpaşa, 27% for the draw and 45% for Beşiktaş.
At home this season Kasımpaşa average 1.50 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Beşiktaş take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.5 per game for Kasımpaşa at home and 6.8 for Beşiktaş on the road.
The model expects 1.15 goals from Kasımpaşa and 1.51 from Beşiktaş; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 53%.
In their last 5 league meetings Kasımpaşa won 2, Beşiktaş won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-29%
- 1-08%
- 0-28%
Kasımpaşa form
- Wat Eyüpspor1-02026-10-24
- Wvs Samsunspor4-12026-10-18
- Lat Galatasaray1-32026-10-09
- Dvs Konyaspor0-02026-09-18
- Wat Gençlerbirliği2-12026-09-13
Beşiktaş form
- Wvs İstanbul Başakşehir2-02026-10-26
- Lat Trabzonspor0-22026-10-19
- Wvs Kocaelispor2-12026-10-11
- Lat Amed2-32026-09-20
- Wvs Erzurumspor FK3-02026-09-11
Head to head
- 2026-03-19Beşiktaş 2-1 Kasımpaşa
- 2025-10-26Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş
- 2025-04-07Kasımpaşa 1-1 Beşiktaş
- 2024-11-02Beşiktaş 1-3 Kasımpaşa
- 2024-05-26Kasımpaşa 2-1 Beşiktaş
Prediction made 2026-11-01 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.