İstanbul Başakşehir vs Samsunspor prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- İstanbul Başakşehir60%1.67
- Draw22%4.50
- Samsunspor18%5.53
Double chance
- İstanbul Başakşehir or draw82%1.22
- İstanbul Başakşehir or Samsunspor78%1.29
- Draw or Samsunspor40%2.48
Goals
- Over 2.554%1.85
- Under 2.546%2.18
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.87
- No46%2.16
Match in numbers
This season, İstanbul Başakşehir at home and Samsunspor away
| İstanbul Başakşehir (home) | Samsunspor (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.20 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.4 | 3.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.4 | 5.8 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 25% |
- Samsunspor have lost their last 7 league matches.
- İstanbul Başakşehir: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Samsunspor: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 14th in the league.
- Our predictions for İstanbul Başakşehir matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Samsunspor matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards İstanbul Başakşehir (60%), though Samsunspor win 18% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 22%.
At home this season İstanbul Başakşehir average 2.00 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Samsunspor take 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.4 per game for İstanbul Başakşehir at home and 3.2 for Samsunspor on the road.
Current runs: Samsunspor have lost their last 7 league matches.
İstanbul Başakşehir sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.81 goals from İstanbul Başakşehir and 1.03 from Samsunspor; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 54%.
In their last 5 league meetings İstanbul Başakşehir won 4 and Samsunspor won 1.
Most likely scores
- 1-011%
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 2-010%
- 0-16%
İstanbul Başakşehir form
- Lat Beşiktaş0-22026-10-26
- Wvs Gaziantep FK2-12026-10-18
- Dat Konyaspor0-02026-10-11
- Wvs Gençlerbirliği4-02026-09-19
- Lat Amed0-52026-09-13
Samsunspor form
- Lvs Amed1-22026-10-24
- Lat Kasımpaşa1-42026-10-18
- Lvs Trabzonspor0-32026-10-10
- Lat Erzurumspor FK0-12026-09-20
- Lvs Çorum1-52026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-05-09İstanbul Başakşehir 3-0 Samsunspor
- 2025-12-14Samsunspor 0-2 İstanbul Başakşehir
- 2025-02-01İstanbul Başakşehir 4-0 Samsunspor
- 2024-09-18Samsunspor 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir
- 2024-03-03İstanbul Başakşehir 1-0 Samsunspor
Prediction made 2026-11-01 12:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.