Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

England · Premier League · 08 November 2026

Ipswich Town14th · 11 pts
1 - 2Full time
AFC Bournemouth9th · 12 pts
Ipswich TownDrawAFC Bournemouth
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: AFC Bournemouth to win (48%)
Our predictionAFC Bournemouth to winLean
48%Probability
2.10Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.31-1.81Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Ipswich Town28%3.63
  • Draw25%4.01
  • AFC Bournemouth48%2.10

Double chance

  • Ipswich Town or draw52%1.91
  • Ipswich Town or AFC Bournemouth75%1.33
  • Draw or AFC Bournemouth72%1.38

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.66
  • Under 2.540%2.52

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.64
  • No39%2.56

Match in numbers

This season, Ipswich Town at home and AFC Bournemouth away

Ipswich Town (home)AFC Bournemouth (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.751.00
Goals scored per game1.251.75
Goals conceded per game1.252.25
Shots on target per game4.04.2
Shots on target conceded5.24.8
Clean sheets0%25%
Over 2.5 goals50%100%
Both teams scored75%75%
  • AFC Bournemouth have won their last 3 league matches.
  • Ipswich Town: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 20th in the league.
  • AFC Bournemouth: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Ipswich Town matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for AFC Bournemouth matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Ipswich Town at 28%.

At home this season Ipswich Town average 1.75 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home AFC Bournemouth take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Ipswich Town manage 4.0 per home game and AFC Bournemouth 4.2 per away game.

Form lines: AFC Bournemouth have won their last 3 league matches.

Ipswich Town are 14th in the table while the model ranks them only 19th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Ipswich Town 1.31, AFC Bournemouth 1.81. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

In their last 2 league meetings Ipswich Town won 1 and AFC Bournemouth won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-18%
  • 0-27%
  • 2-17%

Ipswich Town form

LWLDD
  • Dat Hull City2-22026-10-31
  • Dvs Nottingham Forest1-12026-10-23
  • Lat Manchester City2-32026-10-17
  • Wvs Fulham2-12026-10-10
  • Lat Everton0-12026-09-19

AFC Bournemouth form

LLWWW
  • Wvs Leeds United2-02026-10-31
  • Wat Manchester United3-02026-10-25
  • Wvs Sunderland2-02026-10-18
  • Lat Chelsea1-52026-10-10
  • Lvs Liverpool0-12026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2025-04-02AFC Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich Town
  • 2024-12-08Ipswich Town 1-2 AFC Bournemouth

Prediction made 2026-11-08 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.