Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Inter Milan vs Como prediction

Italy · Serie A · 08 November 2026

Inter Milan3rd · 25 pts
2 - 0Full time
Como5th · 23 pts
Inter MilanDrawComo
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Inter Milan to win (52%)
Our predictionInter Milan to winLean
52%Probability
1.94Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.60-1.24Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Inter Milan52%1.94
  • Draw24%4.18
  • Como25%4.07

Double chance

  • Inter Milan or draw75%1.33
  • Inter Milan or Como76%1.31
  • Draw or Como48%2.06

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.85
  • Under 2.546%2.18

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.77
  • No44%2.30

Match in numbers

This season, Inter Milan at home and Como away

Inter Milan (home)Como (away)
Matches56
Points per game3.002.17
Goals scored per game3.402.17
Goals conceded per game1.401.17
Shots on target per game8.47.0
Shots on target conceded3.84.2
Clean sheets20%0%
Over 2.5 goals100%67%
Both teams scored80%83%
  • Inter Milan have scored in 20 straight league matches.
  • Como have won their last 4 league matches.
  • Inter Milan: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 4th in the league.
  • Como: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Inter Milan matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Como matches: 4 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Inter Milan (52%), though Como win 25% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Inter Milan average 3.00 points and 3.4 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Como take 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 8.4 per game for Inter Milan at home and 7.0 for Como on the road.

Current runs: Inter Milan have scored in 20 straight league matches; Como have won their last 4 league matches.

The model expects 1.60 goals from Inter Milan and 1.24 from Como; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 56%.

Inter Milan won all 4 of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-17%

Inter Milan form

WWWWL
  • Lat AC Milan1-32026-10-31
  • Wat Venezia2-02026-10-28
  • Wvs Fiorentina2-12026-10-25
  • Wat Bologna3-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Parma3-02026-10-10

Como form

DWWWW
  • Wvs Venezia1-02026-11-01
  • Wat Torino3-12026-10-27
  • Wvs Sassuolo2-02026-10-24
  • Wat Fiorentina3-12026-10-18
  • Dvs Roma0-02026-10-11

Head to head

  • 2026-04-12Como 3-4 Inter Milan
  • 2025-12-06Inter Milan 4-0 Como
  • 2025-05-23Como 0-2 Inter Milan
  • 2024-12-23Inter Milan 2-0 Como

Prediction made 2026-11-08 16:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.