Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Hoffenheim71%1.40
- Draw19%5.31
- Schalke 0410%10.16
Double chance
- Hoffenheim or draw90%1.11
- Hoffenheim or Schalke 0481%1.23
- Draw or Schalke 0429%3.49
Goals
- Over 2.552%1.91
- Under 2.548%2.10
Both teams to score
- Yes45%2.24
- No55%1.81
Match in numbers
This season, Hoffenheim at home and Schalke 04 away
| Hoffenheim (home) | Schalke 04 (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.5 | 7.5 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
- Schalke 04 have gone 5 league matches without a win.
- Hoffenheim: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Schalke 04: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 14th in the league.
- Our predictions for Hoffenheim matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Schalke 04 matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
The model makes Hoffenheim clear favourites at 71%. The draw is rated at 19% and a win for Schalke 04 at 10%.
At home this season Hoffenheim average 1.50 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Schalke 04 take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Hoffenheim manage 6.0 per home game and Schalke 04 4.2 per away game.
Form lines: Schalke 04 have gone 5 league matches without a win.
Hoffenheim sit 14th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Hoffenheim 2.05, Schalke 04 0.72. The single most likely score is 2-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.
In their last 5 league meetings Hoffenheim won 3, Schalke 04 won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-013%
- 1-013%
- 2-19%
- 1-19%
- 3-09%
Hoffenheim form
- Lat Werder Bremen0-22026-10-31
- Wvs Bayer Leverkusen3-02026-10-25
- Wat Borussia M'gladbach2-12026-10-18
- Lvs Hamburger SV2-32026-10-10
- Lat Paderborn1-32026-09-20
Schalke 04 form
- Lvs RB Leipzig0-22026-10-31
- Dat Köln0-02026-10-24
- Lvs Mainz 050-12026-10-17
- Lat Freiburg1-22026-10-11
- Dvs Elversberg0-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2023-04-09Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke 04
- 2022-10-14Schalke 04 0-3 Hoffenheim
- 2021-05-08Hoffenheim 4-2 Schalke 04
- 2021-01-09Schalke 04 4-0 Hoffenheim
- 2020-03-07Schalke 04 1-1 Hoffenheim
Prediction made 2026-11-08 18:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.