Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Heerenveen43%2.34
- Draw25%4.08
- NEC33%3.06
Double chance
- Heerenveen or draw67%1.49
- Heerenveen or NEC75%1.32
- Draw or NEC57%1.75
Goals
- Over 2.563%1.58
- Under 2.537%2.72
Both teams to score
- Yes64%1.55
- No36%2.81
Match in numbers
This season, Heerenveen at home and NEC away
| Heerenveen (home) | NEC (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.4 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 75% |
- NEC have gone 7 league matches without a win.
- Heerenveen: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 7th in the league.
- NEC: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 6th in the league.
- Our predictions for Heerenveen matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for NEC matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 43% for Heerenveen, 25% for the draw and 33% for NEC.
At home this season Heerenveen average 1.40 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home NEC take 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.4 per game for Heerenveen at home and 4.2 for NEC on the road.
Current runs: NEC have gone 7 league matches without a win.
NEC sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.69 goals from Heerenveen and 1.57 from NEC; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 64%.
In their last 5 league meetings Heerenveen won 2, NEC won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 1-07%
Heerenveen form
- Wat ADO Den Haag3-22026-10-24
- Wvs Excelsior4-02026-10-16
- Lat PSV0-22026-10-09
- Wat Sparta Rotterdam4-02026-09-19
- Dvs Telstar0-02026-09-13
NEC form
- Dvs Groningen2-22026-10-25
- Dvs Fortuna Sittard2-22026-10-18
- Dat Ajax1-12026-10-10
- Dvs Go Ahead Eagles1-12026-09-20
- Lat Cambuur0-32026-09-12
Head to head
- 2026-03-22NEC 2-2 Heerenveen
- 2025-09-21Heerenveen 3-2 NEC
- 2025-04-27Heerenveen 1-0 NEC
- 2024-10-19NEC 3-0 Heerenveen
- 2024-03-10NEC 2-0 Heerenveen
Prediction made 2026-10-31 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.