Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Heerenveen vs Feyenoord prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 08 November 2026

Heerenveen7th · 18 pts
5 - 3Full time
Feyenoord1st · 25 pts
HeerenveenDrawFeyenoord
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Feyenoord to win (51%)
Our predictionFeyenoord to winLean
51%Probability
1.95Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.31-1.87Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Heerenveen25%3.99
  • Draw24%4.22
  • Feyenoord51%1.95

Double chance

  • Heerenveen or draw49%2.05
  • Heerenveen or Feyenoord76%1.31
  • Draw or Feyenoord75%1.33

Goals

  • Over 2.562%1.63
  • Under 2.538%2.60

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.63
  • No39%2.60

Match in numbers

This season, Heerenveen at home and Feyenoord away

Heerenveen (home)Feyenoord (away)
Matches66
Points per game1.672.67
Goals scored per game1.333.50
Goals conceded per game0.831.17
Shots on target per game4.88.3
Shots on target conceded3.74.0
Clean sheets67%33%
Over 2.5 goals33%67%
Both teams scored17%67%
  • Heerenveen have won their last 3 league matches.
  • Feyenoord are unbeaten in 20 league matches.
  • Heerenveen: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • Feyenoord: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Heerenveen matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Feyenoord matches: 0 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Feyenoord (51%), though Heerenveen win 25% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Heerenveen average 1.67 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Feyenoord take 2.67 points per game, scoring 3.5 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.8 per game for Heerenveen at home and 8.3 for Feyenoord on the road.

Current runs: Heerenveen have won their last 3 league matches; Feyenoord are unbeaten in 20 league matches.

The model expects 1.31 goals from Heerenveen and 1.87 from Feyenoord; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 61%.

In their last 5 league meetings Heerenveen won 1, Feyenoord won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-18%
  • 0-27%
  • 2-17%

Heerenveen form

WLWWW
  • Wvs NEC1-02026-10-31
  • Wat ADO Den Haag3-22026-10-24
  • Wvs Excelsior4-02026-10-16
  • Lat PSV0-22026-10-09
  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam4-02026-09-19

Feyenoord form

WWWDD
  • Dvs Fortuna Sittard1-12026-10-31
  • Dat PSV1-12026-10-25
  • Wat Telstar4-32026-10-17
  • Wvs AZ2-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Utrecht5-02026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-01-11Heerenveen 2-2 Feyenoord
  • 2025-09-13Feyenoord 1-0 Heerenveen
  • 2025-05-18Heerenveen 2-0 Feyenoord
  • 2024-11-23Feyenoord 3-0 Heerenveen
  • 2024-03-17Heerenveen 2-3 Feyenoord

Prediction made 2026-11-08 10:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.