Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Hearts66%1.52
- Draw20%4.92
- Falkirk14%7.20
Double chance
- Hearts or draw86%1.16
- Hearts or Falkirk80%1.26
- Draw or Falkirk34%2.92
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.77
- Under 2.543%2.30
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.93
- No48%2.08
Match in numbers
This season, Hearts at home and Falkirk away
| Hearts (home) | Falkirk (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.80 | 0.83 |
| Shots on target per game | - | 3.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | - | 5.2 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 67% |
- Hearts have scored in 19 straight league matches.
- Falkirk have won their last 4 league matches.
- Hearts: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Falkirk: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Our predictions for Hearts matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Falkirk matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Hearts's match to lose. The model gives them 66%, with the draw at 20% and Falkirk at 14%.
At home this season Hearts average 2.60 points and 3.0 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Falkirk take 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8.
Form lines: Hearts have scored in 19 straight league matches; Falkirk have won their last 4 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Hearts 2.04, Falkirk 0.91. The single most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.
In their last 5 league meetings Hearts won 4 and Falkirk won 1.
Most likely scores
- 2-011%
- 1-011%
- 2-110%
- 1-110%
- 3-07%
Hearts form
- Dvs Rangers2-22026-10-28
- Wat Motherwell2-02026-10-25
- Lat Celtic1-72026-10-18
- Wvs St. Mirren5-02026-10-10
- Dat Kilmarnock1-12026-09-19
Falkirk form
- Wvs Celtic2-02026-11-01
- Wat Aberdeen1-02026-10-28
- Wvs Kilmarnock3-02026-10-24
- Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Dundee1-22026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-09-15Falkirk 2-1 Hearts
- 2026-05-13Hearts 3-0 Falkirk
- 2026-02-21Hearts 1-0 Falkirk
- 2025-12-13Falkirk 0-2 Hearts
- 2025-09-27Hearts 3-0 Falkirk
Prediction made 2026-11-08 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.