Hamburger SV vs Borussia M'gladbach prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Hamburger SV50%2.02
- Draw24%4.18
- Borussia M'gladbach27%3.77
Double chance
- Hamburger SV or draw73%1.36
- Hamburger SV or Borussia M'gladbach76%1.31
- Draw or Borussia M'gladbach50%1.98
Goals
- Over 2.562%1.61
- Under 2.538%2.65
Both teams to score
- Yes62%1.60
- No38%2.66
Match in numbers
This season, Hamburger SV at home and Borussia M'gladbach away
| Hamburger SV (home) | Borussia M'gladbach (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.7 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.0 | 8.0 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
- Hamburger SV: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Borussia M'gladbach: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 18th in the league.
- Our predictions for Hamburger SV matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Borussia M'gladbach matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Hamburger SV (50%), though Borussia M'gladbach win 27% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.
At home this season Hamburger SV average 2.00 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Borussia M'gladbach take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.7 per game for Hamburger SV at home and 4.2 for Borussia M'gladbach on the road.
The model expects 1.85 goals from Hamburger SV and 1.36 from Borussia M'gladbach; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 62%.
Both of their last league meetings ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 2-07%
- 1-27%
Hamburger SV form
- Lat Eintracht Frankfurt1-32026-11-01
- Lat Paderborn0-12026-10-24
- Wvs Stuttgart1-02026-10-17
- Wat Hoffenheim3-22026-10-10
- Wvs Köln2-12026-09-19
Borussia M'gladbach form
- Dvs Paderborn0-02026-10-31
- Wat Stuttgart3-22026-10-23
- Lvs Hoffenheim1-22026-10-18
- Lat Köln1-22026-10-11
- Lvs Mainz 053-42026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-01-17Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia M'gladbach
- 2025-08-24Borussia M'gladbach 0-0 Hamburger SV
Prediction made 2026-11-06 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.