Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Groningen58%1.71
- Draw21%4.75
- Sparta Rotterdam21%4.85
Double chance
- Groningen or draw79%1.26
- Groningen or Sparta Rotterdam79%1.27
- Draw or Sparta Rotterdam42%2.40
Goals
- Over 2.565%1.54
- Under 2.535%2.84
Both teams to score
- Yes63%1.60
- No37%2.67
Match in numbers
This season, Groningen at home and Sparta Rotterdam away
| Groningen (home) | Sparta Rotterdam (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.20 | 2.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 100% |
- Groningen have scored in 10 straight league matches.
- Groningen: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 8th in the league.
- Sparta Rotterdam: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for Groningen matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Sparta Rotterdam matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Groningen (58%), though Sparta Rotterdam win 21% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 21%.
At home this season Groningen average 1.40 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 2.2. Away from home Sparta Rotterdam take 1.00 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.6 per game for Groningen at home and 6.2 for Sparta Rotterdam on the road.
Current runs: Groningen have scored in 10 straight league matches.
The model expects 2.07 goals from Groningen and 1.27 from Sparta Rotterdam; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 63%.
In their last 5 league meetings Groningen won 1 and Sparta Rotterdam won 4.
Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 1-19%
- 2-08%
- 1-08%
- 3-17%
Groningen form
- Dat NEC2-22026-10-25
- Lvs Ajax2-52026-10-18
- Wat Excelsior5-12026-10-11
- Wvs PEC Zwolle3-02026-09-18
- Dat Go Ahead Eagles1-12026-09-12
Sparta Rotterdam form
- Lvs Ajax1-22026-10-25
- Wvs Willem II3-22026-10-17
- Dat Go Ahead Eagles3-32026-10-10
- Lvs Heerenveen0-42026-09-19
- Lat PSV1-42026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-01-31Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Groningen
- 2025-10-19Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam
- 2025-02-02Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 Groningen
- 2024-11-09Groningen 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam
- 2023-05-28Groningen 0-5 Sparta Rotterdam
Prediction made 2026-11-01 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.