Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Göztepe vs İstanbul Başakşehir prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig · 07 November 2026

Göztepe9th · 15 pts
1 - 2Full time
GöztepeDrawİstanbul Başakşehir
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Göztepe to win (47%)
Our predictionGöztepe to winLean
47%Probability
2.13Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.72-1.27Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Göztepe47%2.13
  • Draw26%3.91
  • İstanbul Başakşehir28%3.64

Double chance

  • Göztepe or draw72%1.38
  • Göztepe or İstanbul Başakşehir74%1.34
  • Draw or İstanbul Başakşehir53%1.88

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.74
  • Under 2.543%2.35

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.70
  • No41%2.43

Match in numbers

This season, Göztepe at home and İstanbul Başakşehir away

Göztepe (home)İstanbul Başakşehir (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.000.25
Goals scored per game1.500.25
Goals conceded per game1.752.25
Shots on target per game6.82.2
Shots on target conceded4.25.8
Clean sheets25%25%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%
Both teams scored50%25%
  • Göztepe have won their last 4 league matches.
  • Göztepe: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • İstanbul Başakşehir: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Göztepe matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for İstanbul Başakşehir matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Göztepe have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for İstanbul Başakşehir at 28%.

At home this season Göztepe average 1.00 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home İstanbul Başakşehir take 0.25 points per game, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Göztepe manage 6.8 per home game and İstanbul Başakşehir 2.2 per away game.

Form lines: Göztepe have won their last 4 league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Göztepe 1.72, İstanbul Başakşehir 1.27. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

In their last 5 league meetings Göztepe won 3 and İstanbul Başakşehir won 2.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

Göztepe form

DWWWW
  • Wat Fenerbahçe2-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Çorum2-02026-10-25
  • Wat Kocaelispor2-12026-10-18
  • Wat Eyüpspor4-02026-10-12
  • Dvs Rizespor2-22026-09-20

İstanbul Başakşehir form

WDWLW
  • Wvs Samsunspor5-22026-11-01
  • Lat Beşiktaş0-22026-10-26
  • Wvs Gaziantep FK2-12026-10-18
  • Dat Konyaspor0-02026-10-11
  • Wvs Gençlerbirliği4-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-03-07İstanbul Başakşehir 2-1 Göztepe
  • 2025-10-05Göztepe 1-0 İstanbul Başakşehir
  • 2025-04-28Göztepe 4-1 İstanbul Başakşehir
  • 2024-11-30İstanbul Başakşehir 4-1 Göztepe
  • 2022-01-22İstanbul Başakşehir 1-2 Göztepe

Prediction made 2026-11-07 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.