Gillingham vs Port Vale prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Gillingham
1 - 1Full time
Port Vale
GillinghamDrawPort Vale
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Gillingham to win (36%)
Our predictionGillingham to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.75Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.03-0.96Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Gillingham36%2.75
  • Draw31%3.26
  • Port Vale33%3.03

Double chance

  • Gillingham or draw67%1.49
  • Gillingham or Port Vale69%1.44
  • Draw or Port Vale64%1.57

Goals

  • Over 2.532%3.11
  • Under 2.568%1.47

Both teams to score

  • Yes40%2.53
  • No60%1.65

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Gillingham 36%, draw 31%, Port Vale 33%.

Expected goals from the model: Gillingham 1.03, Port Vale 0.96. The single most likely score is 1-0 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 32%.

Gillingham have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLW).

Port Vale have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWL).

In their last 2 league meetings Gillingham won 2, Port Vale won 0 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 0-113%
  • 0-013%
  • 1-113%
  • 2-07%

Gillingham form

WLDWL
  • Lat Accrington Stanley1-32026-10-17
  • Wat Rotherham United4-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Newport County0-02026-10-03
  • Lat York City0-32026-09-26
  • Wvs Bristol Rovers3-02026-09-19

Port Vale form

LWLWW
  • Wvs Chesterfield1-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Grimsby Town1-02026-10-10
  • Lat Walsall0-22026-09-19
  • Wvs Exeter City1-02026-09-12
  • Lat Salford City0-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2025-05-03Port Vale 0-1 Gillingham
  • 2024-11-09Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale

More League Two predictions

All matches ›

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.