Gillingham vs Grimsby Town prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

Gillingham7th · 17 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Grimsby Town17th · 14 pts
GillinghamDrawGrimsby Town
Our predictionGrimsby Town to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.55Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.19-1.40Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Gillingham33%3.06
  • Draw28%3.54
  • Grimsby Town39%2.55

Double chance

  • Gillingham or draw61%1.64
  • Gillingham or Grimsby Town72%1.39
  • Draw or Grimsby Town67%1.48

Goals

  • Over 2.548%2.09
  • Under 2.552%1.92

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.92
  • No48%2.09

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Gillingham 33%, draw 28%, Grimsby Town 39%.

Expected goals from the model: Gillingham 1.19, Grimsby Town 1.40. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.

Gillingham have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLWDL).

Grimsby Town have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (DLLLL).

In the table Gillingham are 7th with 17 points and Grimsby Town 17th with 14.

In their last 5 league meetings Gillingham won 0, Grimsby Town won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-09%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-17%

Gillingham form

LDWLD
  • Dvs Port Vale1-12026-10-20
  • Lat Accrington Stanley1-32026-10-17
  • Wat Rotherham United4-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Newport County0-02026-10-03
  • Lat York City0-32026-09-26

Grimsby Town form

LLLLD
  • Dat Rochdale2-22026-10-20
  • Lvs Northampton Town0-22026-10-17
  • Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Shrewsbury Town1-22026-10-03
  • Lat Newport County1-22026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Gillingham 1-4 Grimsby Town
  • 2025-10-18Grimsby Town 1-0 Gillingham
  • 2025-01-28Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham
  • 2024-10-01Gillingham 0-1 Grimsby Town
  • 2024-03-16Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.