Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Gil Vicente46%2.18
- Draw28%3.55
- Vitória Guimarães26%3.86
Double chance
- Gil Vicente or draw74%1.35
- Gil Vicente or Vitória Guimarães72%1.39
- Draw or Vitória Guimarães54%1.85
Goals
- Over 2.538%2.66
- Under 2.562%1.60
Both teams to score
- Yes44%2.29
- No56%1.78
Match in numbers
This season, Gil Vicente at home and Vitória Guimarães away
| Gil Vicente (home) | Vitória Guimarães (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.4 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 50% |
- Gil Vicente: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 5th in the league.
- Vitória Guimarães: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 8th in the league.
- Our predictions for Gil Vicente matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Vitória Guimarães matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Gil Vicente (46%), though Vitória Guimarães win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.
At home this season Gil Vicente average 1.40 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Vitória Guimarães take 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.4 per game for Gil Vicente at home and 3.0 for Vitória Guimarães on the road.
Vitória Guimarães sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.22 goals from Gil Vicente and 0.98 from Vitória Guimarães; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 38% and both teams to score 44%.
In their last 5 league meetings Gil Vicente won 1, Vitória Guimarães won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 0-011%
- 2-08%
Gil Vicente form
- Lvs Porto0-12026-10-24
- Wat Sporting Braga2-12026-10-19
- Wat Moreirense1-02026-10-09
- Dvs Marítimo1-12026-09-19
- Lat Benfica1-32026-09-13
Vitória Guimarães form
- Wvs Marítimo5-02026-10-23
- Lat Benfica0-22026-10-11
- Dvs Moreirense1-12026-09-20
- Lat Académico de Viseu1-22026-09-12
- Dvs Casa Pia0-02026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-04-18Gil Vicente 0-1 Vitória Guimarães
- 2025-12-08Vitória Guimarães 0-0 Gil Vicente
- 2025-04-11Gil Vicente 0-1 Vitória Guimarães
- 2024-12-02Vitória Guimarães 4-0 Gil Vicente
- 2024-01-28Gil Vicente 1-0 Vitória Guimarães
Prediction made 2026-11-02 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.