Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction

Spain · La Liga · 19 October 2026

Getafe
1 - 1Full time
Rayo Vallecano
GetafeDrawRayo Vallecano
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Draw (35%)
Our predictionDrawOpen game
35%Probability
2.86Fair odds
0-0Likely score
0.83-0.76Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Getafe34%2.90
  • Draw35%2.86
  • Rayo Vallecano31%3.27

Double chance

  • Getafe or draw69%1.44
  • Getafe or Rayo Vallecano65%1.54
  • Draw or Rayo Vallecano66%1.53

Goals

  • Over 2.521%4.69
  • Under 2.579%1.27

Both teams to score

  • Yes30%3.37
  • No70%1.42

Match preview

This is the rare match where a draw is the single most likely outcome at 35%, with Getafe at 34% and Rayo Vallecano at 31%.

Expected goals from the model: Getafe 0.83, Rayo Vallecano 0.76. The single most likely score is 0-0 (20%), and the chance of three or more goals is 21%.

Getafe have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDD).

Rayo Vallecano have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWLWL).

In their last 5 league meetings Getafe won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-020%
  • 1-017%
  • 0-116%
  • 1-113%
  • 2-07%

Getafe form

DDLWL
  • Lat Barcelona0-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Málaga1-02026-09-20
  • Lat Real Betis0-12026-09-17
  • Dvs Deportivo de La Coruña1-12026-09-13
  • Dvs Celta Vigo1-12026-09-07

Rayo Vallecano form

LWLWD
  • Dat Osasuna1-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Espanyol2-12026-09-15
  • Lat Real Madrid1-42026-09-12
  • Wvs Racing de Santander3-22026-09-05
  • Lat Barcelona2-52026-08-31

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03Getafe 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2026-01-02Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Getafe
  • 2025-05-02Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Getafe
  • 2024-08-24Getafe 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
  • 2024-04-13Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe

More La Liga predictions

All matches ›

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.