Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Genoa26%3.86
- Draw28%3.62
- AC Milan46%2.15
Double chance
- Genoa or draw54%1.87
- Genoa or AC Milan72%1.38
- Draw or AC Milan74%1.35
Goals
- Over 2.544%2.27
- Under 2.556%1.79
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.06
- No51%1.94
Match in numbers
This season, Genoa at home and AC Milan away
| Genoa (home) | AC Milan (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.17 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.2 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
- Genoa have won their last 3 league matches.
- AC Milan have scored in 13 straight league matches.
- Genoa: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 10th in the league.
- AC Milan: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 8th in the league.
- Our predictions for Genoa matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for AC Milan matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards AC Milan (46%), though Genoa win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.
At home this season Genoa average 1.67 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home AC Milan take 1.80 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.2 per game for Genoa at home and 5.0 for AC Milan on the road.
Current runs: Genoa have won their last 3 league matches; AC Milan have scored in 13 straight league matches.
The model expects 1.05 goals from Genoa and 1.39 from AC Milan; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 49%.
In their last 5 league meetings AC Milan won 2 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-112%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 0-08%
Genoa form
- Wat Lecce2-12026-11-01
- Wvs Juventus2-02026-10-28
- Wvs Venezia1-02026-10-25
- Lat Roma0-22026-10-17
- Wvs Fiorentina2-12026-10-10
AC Milan form
- Wvs Inter Milan3-12026-10-31
- Lvs Bologna2-42026-10-28
- Wat Udinese2-02026-10-25
- Wvs Atalanta3-22026-10-18
- Dat Sassuolo1-12026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-05-17Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
- 2026-01-08AC Milan 1-1 Genoa
- 2025-05-05Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
- 2024-12-15AC Milan 0-0 Genoa
- 2024-05-05AC Milan 3-3 Genoa
Prediction made 2026-11-08 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.