Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig · 06 November 2026

Gaziantep FK16th · 8 pts
0 - 2Full time
Kasımpaşa5th · 17 pts
Gaziantep FKDrawKasımpaşa
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Gaziantep FK to win (38%)
Our predictionGaziantep FK to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.66Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.38-1.14Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Gaziantep FK38%2.66
  • Draw28%3.54
  • Kasımpaşa34%2.93

Double chance

  • Gaziantep FK or draw66%1.52
  • Gaziantep FK or Kasımpaşa72%1.39
  • Draw or Kasımpaşa62%1.60

Goals

  • Over 2.546%2.16
  • Under 2.554%1.86

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.97
  • No49%2.03

Match in numbers

This season, Gaziantep FK at home and Kasımpaşa away

Gaziantep FK (home)Kasımpaşa (away)
Matches55
Points per game0.402.00
Goals scored per game0.601.20
Goals conceded per game1.801.00
Shots on target per game3.62.8
Shots on target conceded4.04.8
Clean sheets20%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%
Both teams scored60%60%
  • Gaziantep FK have lost their last 5 league matches.
  • Gaziantep FK: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Kasımpaşa: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Gaziantep FK matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Kasımpaşa matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 38% for Gaziantep FK, 28% for the draw and 34% for Kasımpaşa.

At home this season Gaziantep FK average 0.40 points and 0.6 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Kasımpaşa take 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.6 per game for Gaziantep FK at home and 2.8 for Kasımpaşa on the road.

Current runs: Gaziantep FK have lost their last 5 league matches.

Kasımpaşa are 5th in the table while the model ranks them only 10th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.38 goals from Gaziantep FK and 1.14 from Kasımpaşa; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 51%.

In their last 5 league meetings Gaziantep FK won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-08%

Gaziantep FK form

LLLLL
  • Lat Trabzonspor0-22026-11-01
  • Lvs Erzurumspor FK1-32026-10-24
  • Lat İstanbul Başakşehir1-22026-10-18
  • Lvs Çorum0-32026-10-11
  • Lat Kocaelispor0-22026-09-19

Kasımpaşa form

DLWWD
  • Dvs Beşiktaş2-22026-11-01
  • Wat Eyüpspor1-02026-10-24
  • Wvs Samsunspor4-12026-10-18
  • Lat Galatasaray1-32026-10-09
  • Dvs Konyaspor0-02026-09-18

Head to head

  • 2026-02-09Gaziantep FK 2-1 Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-08-30Kasımpaşa 2-3 Gaziantep FK
  • 2025-05-24Gaziantep FK 2-2 Kasımpaşa
  • 2025-01-05Kasımpaşa 2-2 Gaziantep FK
  • 2024-04-21Gaziantep FK 2-0 Kasımpaşa

Prediction made 2026-11-06 16:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.