Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Fulham46%2.19
- Draw27%3.70
- Newcastle United27%3.65
Double chance
- Fulham or draw73%1.38
- Fulham or Newcastle United73%1.37
- Draw or Newcastle United54%1.84
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.03
- Under 2.551%1.97
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.89
- No47%2.12
Match in numbers
This season, Fulham at home and Newcastle United away
| Fulham (home) | Newcastle United (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.0 | 3.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 5.5 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
- Fulham: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Newcastle United: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for Fulham matches: 0 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Newcastle United matches: 0 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Fulham (46%), though Newcastle United win 27% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.
At home this season Fulham average 1.00 points and 1.5 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Newcastle United take 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.0 per game for Fulham at home and 3.8 for Newcastle United on the road.
The model expects 1.49 goals from Fulham and 1.15 from Newcastle United; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 53%.
In their last 5 league meetings Fulham won 3 and Newcastle United won 2.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 2-08%
Fulham form
- Dat Aston Villa1-12026-10-31
- Wat Coventry City1-02026-10-24
- Wvs Hull City1-02026-10-17
- Lat Ipswich Town1-22026-10-10
- Dvs Manchester United1-12026-09-20
Newcastle United form
- Lvs Everton0-12026-11-02
- Wat Crystal Palace2-02026-10-25
- Lvs Aston Villa0-12026-10-17
- Lat Coventry City1-42026-10-12
- Wvs Hull City2-12026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-05-24Fulham 2-0 Newcastle United
- 2025-10-25Newcastle United 2-1 Fulham
- 2025-02-01Newcastle United 1-2 Fulham
- 2024-09-21Fulham 3-1 Newcastle United
- 2024-04-06Fulham 0-1 Newcastle United
Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.