Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Freiburg60%1.66
- Draw22%4.45
- Union Berlin17%5.85
Double chance
- Freiburg or draw83%1.21
- Freiburg or Union Berlin78%1.29
- Draw or Union Berlin40%2.53
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.00
- Under 2.550%2.00
Both teams to score
- Yes50%2.00
- No50%2.00
Match in numbers
This season, Freiburg at home and Union Berlin away
| Freiburg (home) | Union Berlin (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.25 | 4.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.5 | 1.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 10.0 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 33% |
- Freiburg have scored in 11 straight league matches.
- Freiburg: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Union Berlin: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 9th in the league.
- Our predictions for Freiburg matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Union Berlin matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Freiburg go in as strong favourites: 60% to win, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Union Berlin.
At home this season Freiburg average 2.25 points and 3.0 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Union Berlin take 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.3 and conceding 4.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.5 per game for Freiburg at home and 1.0 for Union Berlin on the road.
Current runs: Freiburg have scored in 11 straight league matches.
The model expects 1.73 goals from Freiburg and 0.95 from Union Berlin; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 50%.
In their last 5 league meetings Union Berlin won 3 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 1-111%
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 0-17%
Freiburg form
- Wat Augsburg2-12026-10-31
- Lvs Bayern Munich1-32026-10-25
- Lat Bayer Leverkusen1-22026-10-18
- Wvs Schalke 042-12026-10-11
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2-22026-09-19
Union Berlin form
- Dvs Köln1-12026-11-01
- Dat Augsburg1-12026-10-24
- Dvs Borussia Dortmund0-02026-10-17
- Wvs Elversberg1-02026-10-10
- Lat Bayern Munich0-72026-09-18
Head to head
- 2026-03-15Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin
- 2025-11-01Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
- 2025-03-30Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
- 2024-11-08Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
- 2024-05-18Union Berlin 2-1 Freiburg
Prediction made 2026-11-08 16:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.