Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie · 07 November 2026

Fortuna Sittard6th · 19 pts
2 - 2Full time
Telstar16th · 9 pts
Fortuna SittardDrawTelstar
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Fortuna Sittard to win (48%)
Our predictionFortuna Sittard to winLean
48%Probability
2.10Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.74-1.39Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Fortuna Sittard48%2.10
  • Draw24%4.10
  • Telstar28%3.56

Double chance

  • Fortuna Sittard or draw72%1.39
  • Fortuna Sittard or Telstar76%1.32
  • Draw or Telstar52%1.91

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.65
  • Under 2.539%2.53

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.62
  • No38%2.61

Match in numbers

This season, Fortuna Sittard at home and Telstar away

Fortuna Sittard (home)Telstar (away)
Matches55
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored per game1.200.80
Goals conceded per game1.801.20
Shots on target per game4.62.2
Shots on target conceded7.26.6
Clean sheets20%20%
Over 2.5 goals40%40%
Both teams scored60%40%
  • Fortuna Sittard are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Fortuna Sittard: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Telstar: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 16th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Fortuna Sittard matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Telstar matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Fortuna Sittard have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Telstar at 28%.

At home this season Fortuna Sittard average 1.40 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Telstar take 0.80 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Fortuna Sittard manage 4.6 per home game and Telstar 2.2 per away game.

Form lines: Fortuna Sittard are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Fortuna Sittard are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Fortuna Sittard 1.74, Telstar 1.39. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.

In their last 2 league meetings Fortuna Sittard won 1 and Telstar won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 1-27%
  • 2-07%

Fortuna Sittard form

WDDWD
  • Dat Feyenoord1-12026-10-31
  • Wvs Excelsior1-02026-10-25
  • Dat NEC2-22026-10-18
  • Dvs Twente1-12026-10-10
  • Wat Willem II1-02026-09-19

Telstar form

LDLLW
  • Wvs Utrecht4-22026-11-01
  • Lat Go Ahead Eagles2-32026-10-23
  • Lvs Feyenoord3-42026-10-17
  • Dvs ADO Den Haag2-22026-10-11
  • Lat AZ0-12026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2026-03-08Fortuna Sittard 1-4 Telstar
  • 2025-09-14Telstar 1-3 Fortuna Sittard

Prediction made 2026-11-07 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.