Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Fiorentina22%4.60
- Draw26%3.84
- Juventus52%1.92
Double chance
- Fiorentina or draw48%2.09
- Fiorentina or Juventus74%1.35
- Draw or Juventus78%1.28
Goals
- Over 2.550%1.99
- Under 2.550%2.01
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.96
- No49%2.04
Match in numbers
This season, Fiorentina at home and Juventus away
| Fiorentina (home) | Juventus (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 5.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.6 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
- Fiorentina have scored in 8 straight league matches.
- Fiorentina: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Juventus: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 1st in the league.
- Our predictions for Fiorentina matches: 1 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Juventus matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Juventus have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Fiorentina at 22%.
At home this season Fiorentina average 0.40 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 2.2. Away from home Juventus take 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Fiorentina manage 5.0 per home game and Juventus 5.8 per away game.
Form lines: Fiorentina have scored in 8 straight league matches.
Juventus sit 7th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 2nd in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Fiorentina 0.99, Juventus 1.69. The single most likely score is 0-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
In their last 5 league meetings Fiorentina won 2, Juventus won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 0-112%
- 1-111%
- 0-210%
- 1-210%
- 1-07%
Fiorentina form
- Wat Sassuolo4-22026-11-02
- Dvs Atalanta2-22026-10-29
- Lat Inter Milan1-22026-10-25
- Lvs Como1-32026-10-18
- Lat Genoa1-22026-10-10
Juventus form
- Wvs Napoli2-02026-11-01
- Lat Genoa0-22026-10-28
- Wat Lecce2-02026-10-25
- Lvs Lazio0-32026-10-18
- Dat Cagliari1-12026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-05-17Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina
- 2025-11-22Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus
- 2025-03-16Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus
- 2024-12-29Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
- 2024-04-07Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Prediction made 2026-11-08 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.